Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 52.115203 59.774189 67.656219 76.338418 85.599534 95.151133 105.715791
2026-01-25 40.731235 51.626703 63.408795 76.947572 91.937594 107.904024 126.078297
2026-02-01 33.195411 45.656145 59.665958 76.273419 95.144168 115.678196 139.482701
2026-02-08 27.791574 41.299563 57.038383 76.206017 98.460249 123.094570 152.061890
2026-02-15 23.069788 37.128334 54.101607 75.308325 100.418592 128.639118 162.234013
2026-02-22 20.124133 34.793401 53.060915 76.375282 104.420570 136.316312 174.646568
2026-03-01 17.796866 32.978189 52.441335 77.762651 108.646563 144.130437 187.113934
2026-03-08 14.858460 29.997060 50.093391 76.820139 109.924970 148.386153 195.377189
2026-03-15 12.090167 26.915447 47.363600 75.192089 110.205511 151.336113 202.011231
2026-03-22 11.322285 26.707122 48.397570 78.293974 116.227304 161.049152 216.514282
2026-03-29 10.168762 25.763904 48.339014 79.919413 120.377897 168.500650 228.343492
2026-04-05 8.499811 23.778724 46.691704 79.362498 121.729378 172.537048 236.100402
2026-04-12 7.030588 21.941711 45.155081 78.899513 123.185879 176.719631 244.081404
2026-04-19 5.971300 20.674127 44.354494 79.361168 125.774123 182.253429 253.662556
2026-04-26 4.801853 18.987455 42.802109 78.704224 126.859500 185.898767 260.942701
2026-05-03 3.910419 17.678239 41.725175 78.630409 128.643968 190.364406 269.179171
2026-05-10 3.000230 16.104599 40.111877 77.718050 129.272540 193.355677 275.600947
2026-05-17 2.531916 15.451993 39.929698 78.803391 132.500879 199.561297 285.907242
2026-05-24 2.166170 14.970819 39.991203 80.214747 136.145927 206.279804 296.835444
2026-05-31 1.558425 13.610766 38.469373 79.255976 136.588019 208.951867 302.806575
2026-06-07 1.002172 12.090568 36.535769 77.599639 136.028750 210.315169 307.138256
2026-06-14 0.959117 12.360988 37.814735 80.755189 141.986860 219.936107 321.620706
2026-06-21 0.796856 12.103089 38.105996 82.408365 145.897496 226.957724 332.908608